At its heart, the book puts forward a very direct idea: achieving the future we desire requires us to significantly increase the amount of what we build and invent. This might sound straightforward, but the authors suggest that the challenges America faces in the twenty-first century are often rooted in what they call "chosen scarcities". This means that despite having the capacity, we frequently make political and societal choices that lead to shortages of essential goods and services. Recognizing this concept of chosen scarcity is presented as potentially "thrilling" because it implies we could choose differently. However, confronting _why_ we make choices that create scarcity can be "maddening".
The authors envision a future characterized not by having less, but by having "more". They are wary of ideologies that embrace scarcity and argue that trying to solve problems like climate change or lack of jobs by limiting growth or closing borders is not only unrealistic but counterproductive. They take inspiration from historical ideas of abundance, viewing it as a dynamic interplay between humanity and nature, not just a fixed stockpile of resources.
However, this vision of abundance isn't just about having more _stuff_. The excerpts contrast their desired abundance with the consumer-focused abundance of recent decades, arguing that American policy has been perhaps "catastrophically successful" at creating an abundance of consumer goods while failing to provide what's truly needed for a good life. They call for a correction, focusing more on production and building things that matter for the future, such as housing, transportation, energy, and health infrastructure.
The book suggests that a new way of thinking about politics, economics, and growth is emerging, centered on the idea of supply. It pushes back against metaphors like the economy being a pie to be sliced or grown incrementally, arguing that true economic growth involves fundamental change and makes the future radically different from the past.
**Chosen Scarcities in Practice: Housing and Energy**
The excerpts dive into specific areas where this concept of chosen scarcity plays out. One major example is housing, particularly in wealthy American cities. Despite housing being considered a human right, it has become incredibly difficult and expensive to build new homes in many places. The result is that cities like New York, San Francisco, and Los Angeles, which once offered higher wages even accounting for cost of living, now effectively require people to pay just to live there because housing costs have soared relative to paychecks. This creates issues like firefighters being unable to afford living in the cities they serve.
The source excerpts argue that this housing shortage isn't due to a lack of demand or resources but is a direct consequence of many small policy choices. Historically, different means were found to "preserve the character" of communities after racial redlining ended, such as minimum lot size requirements that effectively limited housing to wealthier, often whiter, buyers. Economists might view this primarily through the lens of homeowners seeking to protect their property values, a powerful private motivator that is often framed publicly in terms of traffic, crime, or neighborhood feel.
However, the authors also acknowledge that some anti-growth sentiment stemmed from concerns beyond simple self-interest, linking it to a post-WWII shift where liberalism reacted to the perceived excesses of rapid, untrammeled New Deal-era development. Environmental laws like California's CEQA, initially intended to protect against heedless development, were used by groups, like homeowners' associations, to challenge private development projects, arguing that any development requiring public permits was a public project subject to environmental review. This highlights a tension where anti-growth politics, while sometimes rooted in noble aims, can turn against newcomers.
The problem of housing scarcity is starkly illustrated by the homelessness crisis. While individual stories involve personal challenges, the authors point to research suggesting that the vast differences in homelessness rates across cities are primarily a housing problem, making it, by extension, a result of policy choices that restrict supply. Trying to address demand through subsidies for scarce goods like housing only drives up prices, like building a ladder towards a rising elevator.
A similar dynamic is seen in clean energy development. Despite the urgency of climate change, building clean energy infrastructure often faces opposition, sometimes using the same environmental laws originally intended to protect the planet. The sheer scale of building needed for a clean energy system – requiring an area equivalent to multiple states for wind and solar alone, and the need to bring two large solar facilities online _every week_ for thirty years in a middle-road scenario – presents a massive logistical and permitting challenge. Existing laws and procedures, including a multitude of federal and state permitting programs beyond just NEPA, are seen as potentially creating a "nightmare" for green infrastructure projects.
**The Challenges of Building: Bureaucracy and Veto Points**
Across industries, the excerpts point to a significant slowdown in the ability to build, especially in public projects or those requiring public permits. The construction sector, unlike manufacturing, has not seen significant productivity improvements in decades, and some analyses even show a decline. While there's no single cause, factors mentioned include increased paperwork and reporting requirements.
The ideas of economist Mancur Olson offer a lens through which to view this problem. Olson suggested that in stable, affluent societies, organized groups ("collective action organizations" like the Sierra Club or Chamber of Commerce) emerge and grow powerful over time. While initially slow to form, these groups are persistent and fight for their interests. Olson argued this leads to more conflicts over distribution, more lobbying, more complex regulations, and more bargaining, ultimately making it much harder to complete complex projects. The sources apply this idea to construction, particularly public projects, suggesting it's the industry most exposed to this phenomenon because it involves navigating many different groups, regulations, and competing perspectives. Examples include requirements for parking spaces, setbacks, and specific materials.
This perspective highlights that affluent societies develop numerous "veto points" where various groups or processes can halt or delay projects. Wealthier areas, in particular, often have residents skilled at organizing and with established organizations, lobbyists, and access to decision-makers to stop unwanted development.
The system, then, doesn't just slow things down; it creates incentives for different skills. In a society focused on building, engineers and architects might thrive. But in a society entering a "negotiations phase" due to accumulated organized groups and complex processes, the system rewards those who can best navigate this complexity – lawyers and management consultants. This can steer talented individuals away from fields seen as overly bureaucratic or difficult, like high-speed rail construction in the US, towards areas perceived as freer frontiers, like the internet.
The sources also explore this phenomenon through the lens of modern liberalism. While acknowledging common ground on goals like addressing climate change and inequality, the authors focus on what they see as "pathologies of the broad left," particularly their contribution to building difficulties. They argue that some liberal governance has become overly focused on process and legalistic procedures rather than outcomes. This "procedure fetish," as described by Nicholas Bagley, involves numerous rules and restraints like court challenges, environmental reviews, and detailed legal rules for hiring and procurement, which collectively frustrate the government action that progressives often demand. This can make it difficult to address urgent problems effectively, even when significant funding is available.
The concept of "Everything-Bagel Liberalism" is introduced to describe the tendency to layer numerous, often worthy, social goals and requirements onto projects without acknowledging the trade-offs or potential for these layers to hinder the project's primary objective. For instance, a notice for funding semiconductor manufacturing included requirements for environmental reviews, equity strategies, diverse workforce pathways, childcare access, and supply chain diversity goals. While individually good goals, layering them all onto one project complicates it and may detract from the core mission, raising the question of whether trying to do too much ultimately achieves less. This is contrasted with simpler approaches like lifting immigration rules for skilled workers or fast-tracking environmental reviews, which might more directly address specific bottlenecks.
**The Challenges of Invention: The Karikó Problem and Science Slowdown**
Beyond building, the excerpts discuss the challenges facing invention and scientific progress. While there are bright spots like new gene therapies, AI tools, and drugs, overall progress in many scientific fields appears to be slowing despite increased investment and personnel. This is partly attributed to the "burden of knowledge," where the growing complexity of scientific fields requires more time and resources for researchers to reach the frontier of knowledge, making new discoveries harder to find.
However, the sources also highlight what they call the "Karikó Problem," named after Katalin Karikó, a key figure in the development of mRNA technology. Karikó faced skepticism and lack of funding in academia for years, struggling with grant applications, despite her breakthrough work on stabilizing mRNA. She eventually left academia for the private sector, where companies like Moderna and BioNTech recognized the potential of her work.
The "Karikó Problem" suggests that the American science funding system has developed biases against young scientists and, crucially, against risky, novel ideas. The NIH, the primary federal funding body for biomedical research, is criticized for favoring proposals that are practically guaranteed to succeed over high-risk, high-reward bets. Scientists are incentivized to propose projects that align with existing trends and methods, leading many to look at the "same few trees" rather than exploring "weird trees" in the forest of knowledge. The system is perceived as rewarding "grantsmanship" – the ability to write winning proposals – over pure scientific potential.
This bias against novelty and risk is seen as a tragedy because significant breakthroughs often arise from improbable, even bizarre, obsessions. The discovery of GLP-1 drugs (like Ozempic) originating from studying Gila monster venom is offered as an example.
The current state of affairs is linked to the historical development of science funding. While Vannevar Bush's post-WWII vision led to institutions like the NSF and NIH, intended to fund basic research, concerns about bureaucracy and accountability emerged early. Political pressure and efforts to ensure proper accounting led to a surge in paperwork requirements, turning scientists into clerks and diverting significant time (up to 40%) away from actual research. This is presented as a parallel to the building problems – the "paperwork cure" for perceived past abuses is seen as sometimes worse than the disease, leading to inefficiency and hindering progress.
**Models for Building and Invention**
Despite the challenges, the excerpts point to examples and ideas for how building and invention _can_ be accelerated.
1. **DARPA:** The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency is highlighted as a successful model. With a relatively small budget compared to NIH, DARPA punches above its weight by empowering program managers – domain experts who are not constrained by peer review and are encouraged to make big, counterintuitive bets without being punished for failure. These program managers act like talent scouts, assembling diverse teams of scientists and technologists from academia and industry to work on ambitious projects, much like building an "offline network of minds" to create something new, such as the ARPANET (the precursor to the internet).
2. **Bell Labs:** This historic corporate research lab is cited for its remarkable output of inventions. Its success formula is described as hiring the smartest people, giving them space and time, and ensuring they communicate. Like DARPA, it brought together brilliant individuals who might not otherwise collaborate, encouraging them to pursue ambitious ideas with freedom, and crucially, thinking about the manufacturability and commercial potential of their work from the outset. While recreating Bell Labs today might be impossible due to its unique historical context, its approach offers lessons on fostering a culture of open collaboration and practical application.
3. **Operation Warp Speed (OWS):** The program to accelerate COVID-19 vaccine development is presented as a recent success story in overcoming bottlenecks. OWS succeeded not just through invention but through rapid implementation. It adopted a "venture capital approach," spreading investments across different vaccine technologies to hedge bets. It also focused intensely on streamlining the approval and production pipeline, working with the private sector to accelerate clinical trials, FDA review, and manufacturing scale-up. OWS is highlighted for enabling the private sector rather than directly commanding it, using logistics expertise (even drawing lessons from military logistics) and focusing relentlessly on the end goal: delivering safe and effective vaccines quickly.
4. **Being a Bottleneck Detective:** The excerpts emphasize that solving problems in different industries requires understanding the specific barriers holding _each_ industry back. This means investigating the unique constraints in housing, energy, or science, rather than applying a single ideological solution to everything.
5. **Policy Tools:** The authors discuss policy mechanisms that can actively drive invention and implementation. "Push funding," like grants or loans, directly supports research and development. Another tool is an "advance market commitment" (AMC), where a government or group commits to purchasing a certain amount of a new product if it meets specific criteria. AMCs are particularly effective for technologies that are currently too expensive or risky for the private sector alone, such as carbon removal technologies or vaccines for diseases affecting poorer nations. AMCs shift the focus from funding failure (like loan guarantees) to incentivizing success by guaranteeing a return for successful invention and scaling.
**Focus and Political Will**
The success of Operation Warp Speed is attributed in large part to its singular focus, driven by the perceived crisis of the pandemic. This highlights how crises can act as focusing mechanisms, cutting through competing priorities. However, the authors argue that societies are not doomed to inaction until a catastrophe strikes. They suggest that leaders have the power to _define_ what constitutes a crisis and choose to focus national energy on it, just as the US chose to view Sputnik's launch as a crisis requiring a massive response like the Apollo program. Turning existing challenges like heart disease, climate change, or global diseases into national priorities is a political choice that can drive focused action, even without a sudden, acute crisis.
**Abundance vs. Scarcity: A Fork in the Road**
The authors frame the current moment as a choice between a politics of abundance and a politics of scarcity. They argue that a politics of scarcity, which emphasizes limitations and views those who might take what little is available with suspicion, is seductive but ultimately harmful. They suggest that the rise of figures like Donald Trump, focusing on border control and manufacturing jobs rather than supply-side solutions like building housing, reflects this turn toward scarcity.
However, the authors see an opportunity for liberals to embrace a politics of abundance that Republicans have seemingly abandoned. They point to the rise of the YIMBY movement and policy proposals for building millions of new homes as signs that a supply-side perspective is gaining traction on the left.
This politics of abundance would require a shift in mindset, acknowledging trade-offs and potentially dismantling complex processes and alliances built over decades to prevent reckless development. It would mean questioning systems designed for grassroots participation that have been captured by incumbents. The authors propose adopting a "lens" rather than a fixed list of policies, asking fundamental questions like: What should be abundant that is scarce? What should be easy to build that is difficult? What inventions are needed?.
Ultimately, pursuing abundance is seen as a path towards institutional renewal, requiring a clear-eyed view of where government fails and why. It involves recognizing technology's central role in progress and aligning collective efforts with societal needs. They believe this vision of "a liberalism that builds" is truer to the American character than a narrow narrative of scarcity.
These excerpts explore a vision where technological potential and political will combine to overcome self-imposed barriers, enabling a future of greater plenty and progress, but acknowledge the deep-seated political, institutional, and cultural challenges that stand in the way.